Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.506570 0.576780 0.651989 0.738402 0.834803 0.938889 1.059630
2025-08-10 0.385782 0.479911 0.588606 0.722810 0.883419 1.068790 1.298228
2025-08-17 0.303236 0.409677 0.541406 0.715004 0.936168 1.206773 1.560965
2025-08-24 0.244997 0.357572 0.506127 0.713885 0.993843 1.354520 1.850193
2025-08-31 0.198191 0.311293 0.469835 0.704121 1.036439 1.484956 2.128716
2025-09-07 0.167944 0.282260 0.451593 0.714568 1.104982 1.653892 2.472080
2025-09-14 0.139224 0.249996 0.423089 0.704980 1.141907 1.780131 2.765311
2025-09-21 0.119920 0.228969 0.407959 0.712316 1.202697 1.943770 3.123567
2025-09-28 0.100597 0.204252 0.382897 0.699819 1.230020 2.057911 3.415334
2025-10-05 0.091580 0.196135 0.384065 0.729722 1.326652 2.284608 3.894224
2025-10-12 0.083576 0.188415 0.384568 0.757886 1.422068 2.515455 4.394723
2025-10-19 0.073895 0.175616 0.373888 0.764504 1.480526 2.689545 4.814682
2025-10-26 0.064538 0.162002 0.360154 0.764530 1.528496 2.851752 5.230332
2025-11-02 0.056110 0.148804 0.345335 0.760597 1.568661 3.003383 5.638711
2025-11-09 0.049180 0.137633 0.332981 0.759791 1.614099 3.166961 6.078068
2025-11-16 0.043543 0.128403 0.323334 0.763085 1.667183 3.347330 6.557890
2025-11-23 0.037879 0.117910 0.309317 0.755412 1.697681 3.488078 6.975269
2025-11-30 0.034313 0.112151 0.305159 0.768178 1.769772 3.710282 7.553310
2025-12-07 0.029893 0.103075 0.291814 0.758943 1.795567 3.846029 7.979195
2025-12-14 0.026983 0.097678 0.286587 0.767376 1.858815 4.057642 8.559336
2025-12-21 0.023408 0.089441 0.272925 0.754386 1.874632 4.176627 8.969021
2025-12-28 0.022212 0.088423 0.277899 0.786564 1.991996 4.505583 9.803361
2026-01-04 0.021009 0.087126 0.281930 0.816798 2.107294 4.836994 10.659646